Jet stream dictates the play

The jet stream continues to oscillate from north to south across the UK and this will bring us some variable weather across the week.  For this morning the “stream” is predominantly across the lower half of the UK with our area sitting on the upper edge.  This means that we will have a bit of the four seasons for our weather today.

We have already seen a small amount of rain fall in the area this morning (before 06:30 hours – 0.4mm) and we have a 60% chance of further light showers.

As the day passes the jet stream will move further south and this will mean that the northern climate will dominate in our area bringing some higher air pressure, clearer skies and cooler temperatures.  Our top temperature will be around 6c and the overnight low will be around 1c.

This afternoon will see the cloud cover fragment from time to time to allow for some brighter spells.  During the evening the cloud cover will either dissipate or thin to leave us with some clear, cool spells overnight.

The wind will be deriving predominantly from a SSW-WSW arc.  The average wind speed will be around 8mph with gusts up to 20mph.  The wind will reduce the “feel” of the air temperature by around 2c.

Summary.  Partly cloudy and cool.

Observations made 06:26 hours Hammerwich, Staffordshire.

Air pressure :1010.4mb; Temperature :2.1c; Relative humidity : 87%; Wind :8mph SSW; Rain this month : 4.6mm; Rain this year : 57mm.

Hammerwich weather, Lichfield weather, Burntwood, weather, Brownhills weather, Bloxwich weather, Pelsall weather, WS7 weather

 

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Sleet to start the day

As I write this bulletin at 06:28 hours sleet is falling in the Hammerwich area.  The radar images   are showing that this system will be beyond our area by 08:00 hours.  There is a 70% chance of further rain / sleet during the morning and around 19:00 hours tonight.

This morning will be partially cloudy but we will see some brighter spells break through this afternoon as the air pressure increases.  These brighter spells will help the top temperature reach around 6c.  Overnight the minimum temperature will be around 1c.

The wind will be blowing from a W-SW arc and the average speed will be around 12mph first thing morning increasing to around 15-17mph as the morning passes.  We can expect gusts of around 30mph too.

The strength of the wind will reduce the “feel” of the air temperature by at least 2c.  This will make it a cool day overall.

Summary.  Early sleet turning to some brighter spells durng the afternoon but  a breezy day throughout.

Observations made 06:28 hours Hammerwich, Staffordshire.

Air pressure :1000.4mb; Temperature :2.0c; Relative humidity : 85%; Wind :10mph SW; Rain this month : 4mm; Rain this year : 56.4mm.

Hammerwich weather, Lichfield weather, Burntwood, weather, Brownhills weather, Bloxwich weather, Pelsall weather, WS7 weather

 

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St David’s Day Weather

The mini daffodils were out in full glory.

Today is both St David’s day and the first day of the meteorological spring.  The Meteorological Calendar divides the four seasons into the 12 months of the year (Winter -December, January and February; Spring – March, April, May; Summer – June, July and August and Autumn – September, October and November).  The Equinox Spring will, however, not start until the 20 March.

This morning will behave like a Spring day with some mild temperatures and with a steady breeze.  The clouds will, however, soon begin to move into our area during the afternoon to spoil the Spring effect.  At 08:00 hours the air pressure is rising rapidly but this will soon “flatten out” and even reduce a mb or two as we reach the afternoon. We can expect a top temperature today, before wind chill, of around 8c.  The wind chill will make the “feel” of the top temperature around 3c less than the thermometer is telling us.

As the day progresses we will see an increase in the cloud cover and the radar and satellite images are clearly showing that a band of rain will move across the UK today.  This will bring an 80-85% risk of rain to our area during the mid afternoon to early evening.  We can expect 4-5mm of rain today.

During the evening the sky will clear a  little and this will allow the temperature overnight to reduce to around 2c.

Throughout the day we can expect the average wind speed to be between 10-14mph.  The wind will be deriving from a W-SW arc.

Summary.  A bright start but clouds increasing to bring rain during the afternoon / early evening.

Observations made 07:54 hours Hammerwich, Staffordshire.

Air pressure :997.2mb; Temperature :5.8cc; Relative humidity : 74%; Wind :13mph WSW; Rain this month : 0.2mm; Rain this year : 54.6mm.

Hammerwich weather, Lichfield weather, Burntwood, weather, Brownhills weather, Bloxwich weather, Pelsall weather, WS7 weather

 

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Will it rain today?

We wake up this morning after some overnight/early morning rain and some medium to high level cloud.

The good news is that the radar and satellite images are showing that there are very few rain clouds around this morning and it looks as if it will remain generally dry until late afternoon and early evening. The risk of rain today (generally this evening) is around 70%.

Our top temperature today will be around 8c and overnight, due to a good covering of cloud, the minimum temperature will remain positive at around 4c.

The wind will be deriving from a  S-WSW arc and, at times, it could become a little breezy.  This will be particularly noticeable early this evening as the air pressure reduces and the risk of rain increases.  The average wind speed today will be around 8 mph.

Tomorrow looks as if it will follow a similar pattern to today with a dry start and rain moving in during the afternoon.

Summary.  A cloudy day but generally dry during daylight hours.  A risk of rain after dark.

Observations made 08:37 hours Hammerwich, Staffordshire.

Air pressure :1007.3mb reducing slowly; Temperature :7.4c; Relative humidity : 88%; Wind :3mph WSW; Rain this month : 22.8mm; Rain this year : 54.4mm.

Hammerwich weather, Lichfield weather, Burntwood, weather, Brownhills weather, Bloxwich weather, Pelsall weather, WS7 weather

 

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Some good news to start the day

Today we can start our bulletin with some good news as the barometer is rising slowly and the radar images are showing that there is only a 10% chance of any rain today.

During the morning we will see some bright spells through clear or partly clear cloud cover.  This period of sunshine will help lift our top temperature up to around 7-8c.  It will not, however, remain bright all day as the satellite images are showing that the cloud cover will increase during the afternoon.

This evening will start off cloudy although the cloud base will thin from time to time.  Overnight our minimum temperature will reach around 2-3c.  Last night was a degree or two cooler than I expected and we reached a minimum of 0.2c at 04:15 hours.  The overnight low air temperature has left us with some grass frost first thing this morning so care should be taken when you step outside.

Tomorrow will be generally dry during the day (just the risk of the odd isolated shower) but later in the evening there will be widespread rain across the UK.

The wind today will be deriving from the WSW-SW and the average wind speed will be around 7mph.

Summary.  A dry day will a low risk of rain.  Increasing cloud during the afternoon.

Observations made 06:32 hours Hammerwich, Staffordshire.

Air pressure :1017.6mb ; Temperature :0.7c; Relative humidity : 86%; Wind :4mph WSW; Rain this month : 21.6mm; Rain this year : 52.2mm.

Hammerwich weather, Lichfield weather, Burntwood, weather, Brownhills weather, Bloxwich weather, Pelsall weather, WS7 weather

 

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Leave it until this afternoon.

At o6:30 hours the barometer is showing that the air pressure is reducing rapidly and the radar images are clearly showing that a band of rain is working its way across the UK from W to E.  The rain will not be light to moderate in our area and will become more persistent as we make our journey to work. We will have around an 85% risk of further showers until mid afternoon.  If you have any outdoor tasks to complete I would wait until this afternoon.

From mid afternoon the sky will begin to clear and we will see the odd brighter spell break through some fragmented cloud.  Overnight the cloud will clear even further leaving us with a cool night.  The overnight low will be around 2c.

Our temperature chart during the day will show that at around 06:60 hours will be the warmest point of the day at just under 10c.  As the day passes the temperature will reduce as the rain and cloud pass through.  Once the rain stops and the cloud lifts from low to medium to medium the temperature will reduce to about 6-7c.  This period will also correspond with a movement of the wind direction.  The average wind speed today will be around 8-10mph.

The wind will be deriving from the SSW-SW whilst it is raining but once the rain has cleared we will see a clockwise movement towards the W-WNW.

Summary.  Rain showers this morning but clearing and cooling later.

Observations made 06:29 hours Hammerwich, Staffordshire.

Air pressure :1007.1mb falling rapidly; Temperature :9.8c; Relative humidity : 84%; Wind :10mph SSW; Rain this month : 21.6mm; Rain this year : 52.2mm.

Hammerwich weather, Lichfield weather, Burntwood, weather, Brownhills weather, Bloxwich weather, Pelsall weather, WS7 weather

 

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Watch the barometer.

Although the barometer continues to show a gentle rise in the air pressure this does not mean that we are out of the woods as far as further showers are concerned.  Already overnight / early this morning we have received 1.8mm of rainfall in our area and there is a 60% chance of further showers during the drive to work today / first thing this morning.

From mid morning until lunchtime we may see the odd brighter spell but generally we will see a reasonable covering of low to medium height cloud.

As the day passes we will see the air pressure drop slightly.  This is due to a low pressure system that will move into the UK from the north.  The cloud, rain and winds from this low pressure system will generally centre further North from us but we will see a slight increase in wind speeds, increase cloud thickness and the odd rain shower overnight / tomorrow morning.

Overall it will be a mild day with a top temperature of around 10-11c and a low of around 7-8c.

The wind will be deriving from the SW for the majority of the day.  The average wind speed will be around 6mph.

Finally, if you are travelling to towards the W into Shropshire and East Wales this afternoon you may come across some misty patches as the air pressure decreases.

Summary.  A generally mild day with increasing cloud cover.

Observations made 06:28 hours Hammerwich, Staffordshire.

Air pressure : 1011mb; Temperature :4.8c; Relative humidity : 84%; Wind :4mph SW; Rain this month : 21.6mm; Rain this year : 52.2mm.

Hammerwich weather, Lichfield weather, Burntwood, weather, Brownhills weather, Bloxwich weather, Pelsall weather, WS7 weather

 

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