WS7 weather update for Hammerwich, Lichfield, Burntwood, Brownhills, Bloxwich and Pelsall areas (16 February 2012)

Observations made 06:31 hours Hammerwich, Staffordshire.

Air pressure : 1028mb

temperature : 5.2c

Wind : 5mph WSW

Relative humidity : 1028mb

Rain this month / year : 12.4mm / 63mm

Sunrise / sunset : 07:08 / 17:06 hours

Forecast for today.

More of the same is the order of the day – but things are about to change! 

During the day we will see plenty of cloud but at times it will be fragmented or thin which will allow for some bright spells.  These bright spells will help lift the overall temperature up to a very healthy 9c.  This top temperature will feel a degree or so cooler in the wind.  Overnight it will again remain mild with the overnight low falling to 6c. 

The wind will be averaging a speed of around 8mph and with gusts of around 20mph.  The wind direction will be from a generally W direction.  With any West to East weather pattern we can expect clouds to thicken late afternoon and this may bring the odd drop of isolated light rain or drizzle.

Moving a couple of days ahead and the weather is going to change.  I have attached a graph below known as the ensemble model.  This is basically taking all of the forecasting models together and putting them on one chart.  The overwhelming picture from this model is that the weather is going to get cooler over the weekend.  You can ignore the figures on the left but the pattern is very clear – a dip in temperature over the weekend towards freezing temperatures overnight i.e. up to 10c less than we are currently.

Summary.

Mild for the time of year with some cloud.

Ensemble image

Net-weather GFS Ensemble graph

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