The weather picture continues to improve.

As we discussed in yesterday’s blog the weather picture is continuing to improve from the situation we encountered over the weekend.  The air pressure is slowly rising and, as the day passes, we will see a simple air pressure system sitting over our area.  This means that the winds will be light.

All of this situation is created by the current path of the jet stream which is currently taking a generally NW to SE path across the UK (see image  below).  This will bring some cloud, however, the cloud will fragment to allow some brighter spells.  There is a chance of some light rain showers (only around a 15%) around lunchtime and late afternoon / early evening.  Most of us, however, will remain dry all day. 

Today’s top temperature will be around 17c and the overnight minimum will reach around 10c (last night’s minimum temperature was 8.4c at 04:12 hours).

The wind will be light and will be mainly blowing from the WNW-NW although first thing this morning we are seeing a slight WSW-SW breeze.  The average wind speed today will be around 4-5mph.

The pollen count today is moderate.

Looking ahead, using the GFS ensemble charts, (see below) we can see that there is a slight increase to the maximum temperature over the next few days (follow the red line) whilst the risk of rain showers will remain with us for a while.

Summary.

A generally dry and occasionally bright day through fragmented cloud.

Observations made 07:04 hours Hammerwich, Staffordshire.

Air pressure : 1028.3mb, Temperature : 10.1c, Wind : 3 mph WSW-SW, Relative humidity : 86%, Rain this month : 31.8mm, Rain this year : 223.2mm

Image 1 – Jet stream position.

Chart

Image 2 – GFS Ensemble chart showing average temperature forecast.

Net-weather GFS Ensemble graph

Image 3 – GFS Ensemble model showing average precipitation forecast.

Net-weather GFS Ensemble graph

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