The jet stream is now firmly position below the UK and a complex low pressure system is centered around the northern tip of Scotland. The combined effect is that we will see a breezy and at times partly cloudy day. The cloud will also bring the risk of some rain showers.
The rain radar is showing that there is a small cluster of rain cloud that will reach our area around 09:00 hours. There is a 40% chance that we will see some brief showers from this system. For the majority the cloud will simply blow by. Webcams across the UK are showing that there is more cloud, at the time of observation, to the W of us than there is to the E of our area. The further E you travel the clearer the sky.
This afternoon the cloud will increase and we will see the risk of a rain shower increase to around 65%. Any showers are likely to be brief but sharp. The 65% level of risk of rain will remain with us until early evening.
A feature of the day will be the breeze that will be blowing at an average speed of around 8-10mph with gusts up to 25mph. The wind will be deriving from the SW-WSW for the whole day.
Overall it is not a bad day for a ride out but if do you are better heading towards the E if you want to reduce the risk of seeing some rain.
Summary. A breezy day with the chance of the odd shower.
Observations made 06:22 hours Hammerwich, Staffordshire.
Air pressure : 1004.4 mb , Temperature :11.4c, Wind: 8 mph SW, Relative humidity : 83%, Rain this month : 32.4mm, Rain this year : 428.6mm