At the time of my observations (06:30 hours) the air pressure was reducing rapidly. A look at the jet stream charts show that the jet is currently running across the centre of the UK after originally starting from the NW. Finally, the synoptic charts show that the points of air pressure are closely spaced. The wind is deriving from the SW.
When you put all of this information together we have enough evidence to suggest that it is going to be a breezy day with an average wind speed of around 9mph and gusts of around 25mph.
The rain radar images show that there are dense rain clouds moving across the UK although the largest are to the north and south of us. We are still very likely (80%) to see some rain around lunchtime. We can expect some moderate rainfall with about 3-4mm of accumulation.
It will be a cooler day although, this afternoon, we will probably see the sun breaking through the clouds. The cloud cover first thing this morning and around mid afternoon will be around 50%. These brighter spells will help lift our maximum temperature up to around 8c (feels like 5c with the wind chill) and 2-3c overnight.
The wind will be deriving from the warmer SW /WSW.
Summary : A bright start the clouding over around lunchtime to bring a high risk of rain (80%). Cool overnight.
Observations made on 17/11/2016 at 06:30 hours Hammerwich, Staffordshire.
Temperature : 5.3c; Air pressure : 1007.7mb; Relative humidity 87%; 6mph SW; Rain this month : 34mm; Rain this year : 655.4mm
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