Similar to last year and snow next week? (WS7 weather report 2-12-2017)

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It is another cool start to the day but it is not a cold as yesterday.  At 07:30 hours the air temperature had reached around 4.5c and with a slightly more westerly breeze we can expect more cloud and milder air temperatures.

For neatness today will turn out very similar to the same day last year.

Our top temperature today will be around 7-8c and overnight there will be very little temperature change.  Tonight will be our mildest night since the 22nd of November.

Today’s breeze will be deriving from a WSW-WNW arc and the average wind speed will be around 8mph.  This wind direction will create more cloud and, therefore, there is a slightly increased risk of the odd short spell of light precipitation.  The highest risk is during the early hours of tomorrow morning (around 3am).  The risk of light rain/ drizzle today is 33%.

Now there is a lot of chatter going on about a wintry storm across the UK late next week and next weekend.  It is true that the GFS models are currently showing a low pressure system across our area  late next week and that there is a risk of some high winds, precipitation (rain or snow) and plummeting temperatures.

The big thing, however, is that this model can easily change over the next seven days.  It is far too early to forecast what will happen and I, for one, will not be predicting that far ahead.  I will be keeping a close eye on the situation and when the position becomes more certain I will pass on my thoughts.  Until then it is purely speculation.  10 day forecasts are made with a certainty level of only around 30% i.e. they have more chance of being wrong that right.

Summary: A slightly milder day than of late but still cool.

Observations made on 2/12/2017 at 07:27 hours Hammerwich, Staffordshire.
Temperature : 4.3c; Air pressure : 1026.7mb steady; Relative humidity 91%; Wind : 5mph WSW; Rain this month : 0mm; Rain this year : 522.4mm

 Hammerwich weather, Lichfield weather, Burntwood, weather, Brownhills weather, Bloxwich weather, Pelsall weather, WS7 weather, Walsall weather, Aldridge weather


 

 

 

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