It is a calm start to the day but a lot cooler than at the same point last year. At 06:30 hours this morning the air temperature was 2.5c whilst at the corresponding point last year the air temperature was 11.2c.
The difference is all due to cool air from the NE – E now beginning to enter our area and it will become quite chilly over the next week or so. Yesterday I posted the GFS ensemble air temperature forecast and you will see (see image below) that it will be generally cool until, at least, the 9 March.
Today’s top temperature will be around 4c possibly 5c but overnight we will see the air temperature dip below freezing point at around -1c. During the day the medium to high cloud cover will fragment from time to time to allow for some brighter spells to develop.
There is only a slight risk of some drizzle this morning but, overall, the risk of any measurable rain is less than 10%.
Today’s breeze will be deriving from the cool E and the average wind speed will be around 4mph.
Summary: A mild, dry but cooler day than of late. Frost likely overnight.
Observations made on 22/2/2018 at 06:28 hours Hammerwich, Staffordshire.
Temperature : 4.9c; Air pressure : 1027.9 mb steady; Relative humidity 90%; Wind :Calm; Rain this month : 26.4mm; Rain this year : 85.8mm
GFS ensemble model (www.netweather.tv) suggesting a reduction in average air temperature over the next week or so.
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