Tag Archives: GFS ensemble model

Wind chill reduction about 4c (WS7 weather report 13-1-2019)

It was quite exciting seeing some rain yesterday morning and there is a 55% chance that we will see some drizzle this morning.  This is due to a small system of light rain cloud passing near our area from Stoke … Continue reading

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Some rain today (WS7 weather report 12-1-2019)

For the first time this year we have and will receive some measurable rainfall.  it will only amount to 1-2mm by the end of the day but, even so, it is significant. It is also going to be a very … Continue reading

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Today’s weather and a look at the rest of the month (WS7 weather report 11-1-2019)

Today (and over the weekend) we can expect the air temperature to be relatively mild.  At 06:30 hours this morning the air temperature was 6.1c which is slighty warmer than normal.  Reviewing the records I have made over the last … Continue reading

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A day for a walk and a look ahead (WS7 weather report 28-12-2018)

At the moment the jet stream (see image below) will be “riding” across the UK.  This is a situation, if the GFS forecast models are correct (see image below), that will last until the middle of January. This all suggests … Continue reading

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Change in wind direction. (WS7 weather report 17-11-2018)

There had been some light rain in our area before I made my observations at 07:30 hours this morning.  The likelihood of further measurable rain today, however, is only around 13%. The first thing to note about today is that … Continue reading

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Ensemble suggests a steady decline. (WS7 weather report 16-11-2018)

It was slightly damp underfoot when I made my observations at 06:26 hours this morning but the risk of any further rain is only around 13% for the remainder of the day. It will, however, become generally overcast and, in … Continue reading

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A cold and snow laden start (WS7 weather report 18-3-2018)

It is a very cool start to the day with the air temperature at 08:15 hours a chilly -2.1c.  This is in stark contrast to the same time last year when the air temperature was 11.3c! Our top temperature today … Continue reading

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Getting cooler (WS7 weather report 22-2-2018)

  It is a calm start to the day but a lot cooler than at the same point last year.  At 06:30 hours this morning the air temperature was 2.5c whilst at the corresponding point last year the air temperature … Continue reading

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Not so bright (WS7 weather report 21-2-2018)

After yesterday’s glorious sunshine when many of us were able to get outside, even if only for a lunchtime walk, today will be much more of a cloudyand cool day. The rain radar images are showing just a few rogue … Continue reading

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Mild today but what about the rest of the week? (WS7weather report 8-1-2017)

It is another grey and slightly misty start to the day but with high surface air pressure and warm air pushing from the WSW it is not surprising. The day will, like yesterday be with medium height cloud (around  6,000 … Continue reading

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